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feat(optional-skills): port Anthropic financial-services skills as optional finance bundle (#21180)

Browse source 
Adds 7 optional skills under optional-skills/finance/ adapted from
anthropics/financial-services (Apache-2.0):

  excel-author        — openpyxl conventions: blue/black/green cells,
                        formulas over hardcodes, named ranges, balance
                        checks, sensitivity tables. Ships recalc.py.
  pptx-author         — python-pptx for model-backed decks (pitch,
                        IC memo, earnings note) that bind every number
                        to a source workbook cell.
  dcf-model           — institutional DCF (49KB skill): projections,
                        WACC, terminal value, Bear/Base/Bull scenarios,
                        5x5 sensitivity tables. Ships validate_dcf.py.
  comps-analysis      — comparable company analysis: operating metrics,
                        multiples, statistical benchmarking.
  lbo-model           — leveraged buyout: S&U, debt schedule, cash
                        sweep, exit multiple, IRR/MOIC sensitivity.
  3-statement-model   — fully-integrated IS/BS/CF with balance-check
                        plugs. Ships references/ for formatting,
                        formulas, SEC filings.
  merger-model        — accretion/dilution analysis for M&A.

All seven are optional (not active by default). Users install via
'hermes skills install official/finance/<skill>'.

Hermesification:
- Stripped every Office JS / Office Add-in / mcp__office__*
  branch — skills assume headless openpyxl only.
- Replaced Cowork MCP data-source instructions with 'MCP first (via
  native-mcp), fall back to web_search/web_extract against SEC EDGAR
  and user-provided data'.
- Swapped Claude tool references (Bash, Read, Write, Edit, mcp__*)
  for Hermes-native equivalents and Python library calls.
- Canonical Hermes frontmatter (name/description/version/author/
  license/metadata.hermes.{tags,related_skills}).
- Descriptions tightened to 187-238 chars, trigger-first.
- Attribution preserved: author field credits 'Anthropic (adapted by
  Nous Research)', license: Apache-2.0, each SKILL.md links back to
  the upstream source directory.

Verification:
- All 7 discovered by OptionalSkillSource with source_id='official'
- Bundle fetch includes support files (scripts, references, troubleshooting)
- related_skills cross-refs all resolve within the bundle
- No Claude product / Cowork / Office JS / /mnt/skills leakage
  remains in body text (bounded mentions only in attribution blocks)

Source: https://github.com/anthropics/financial-services (Apache-2.0)
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---
name: merger-model
description: Build accretion/dilution (merger) models in Excel — pro-forma P&L, synergies, financing mix, EPS impact. Pairs with excel-author. Use for M&A pitches, board materials, or deal evaluation.
version: 1.0.0
author: Anthropic (adapted by Nous Research)
license: Apache-2.0
metadata:
hermes:
tags: [finance, m-and-a, merger, accretion-dilution, excel, openpyxl, modeling, investment-banking]
related_skills: [excel-author, pptx-author, dcf-model, 3-statement-model]
---
## Environment
This skill assumes **headless openpyxl** — you are producing an .xlsx file on disk.
Follow the `excel-author` skill's conventions for cell coloring, formulas, named ranges, and sensitivity tables.
Recalculate before delivery: `python /path/to/excel-author/scripts/recalc.py ./out/model.xlsx`.
# Merger Model
Build accretion/dilution analysis for M&A transactions. Models pro forma EPS impact, synergy sensitivities, and purchase price allocation. Use when evaluating a potential acquisition, preparing merger consequences analysis for a pitch, or advising on deal terms.
## Workflow
### Step 1: Gather Inputs
**Acquirer:**
- Company name, current share price, shares outstanding
- LTM and NTM EPS (GAAP and adjusted)
- P/E multiple
- Pre-tax cost of debt, tax rate
- Cash on balance sheet, existing debt
**Target:**
- Company name, current share price, shares outstanding (if public)
- LTM and NTM EPS or net income
- Enterprise value or equity value
**Deal Terms:**
- Offer price per share (or premium to current)
- Consideration mix: % cash vs. % stock
- New debt raised to fund cash portion
- Expected synergies (revenue and cost) and phase-in timeline
- Transaction fees and financing costs
- Expected close date
### Step 2: Purchase Price Analysis
| Item | Value |
|------|-------|
| Offer price per share | |
| Premium to current | |
| Equity value | |
| Plus: net debt assumed | |
| Enterprise value | |
| EV / EBITDA implied | |
| P/E implied | |
### Step 3: Sources & Uses
| Sources | $ | Uses | $ |
|---------|---|------|---|
| New debt | | Equity purchase price | |
| Cash on hand | | Refinance target debt | |
| New equity issued | | Transaction fees | |
| | | Financing fees | |
| **Total** | | **Total** | |
### Step 4: Pro Forma EPS (Accretion / Dilution)
Calculate year-by-year (Year 1-3):
| | Standalone | Pro Forma | Accretion/(Dilution) |
|---|-----------|-----------|---------------------|
| Acquirer net income | | | |
| Target net income | | | |
| Synergies (after tax) | | | |
| Foregone interest on cash (after tax) | | | |
| New debt interest (after tax) | | | |
| Intangible amortization (after tax) | | | |
| Pro forma net income | | | |
| Pro forma shares | | | |
| **Pro forma EPS** | | | |
| **Accretion / (Dilution) %** | | | |
### Step 5: Sensitivity Analysis
**Accretion/Dilution vs. Synergies and Offer Premium:**
| | $0M syn | $25M syn | $50M syn | $75M syn | $100M syn |
|---|---------|----------|----------|----------|-----------|
| 15% premium | | | | | |
| 20% premium | | | | | |
| 25% premium | | | | | |
| 30% premium | | | | | |
**Accretion/Dilution vs. Cash/Stock Mix:**
| | 100% cash | 75/25 | 50/50 | 25/75 | 100% stock |
|---|-----------|-------|-------|-------|------------|
| Year 1 | | | | | |
| Year 2 | | | | | |
### Step 6: Breakeven Synergies
Calculate the minimum synergies needed for the deal to be EPS-neutral in Year 1.
### Step 7: Output
- Excel workbook with:
- Assumptions tab
- Sources & uses
- Pro forma income statement
- Accretion/dilution summary
- Sensitivity tables
- Breakeven analysis
- One-page merger consequences summary for pitch book
## Important Notes
- Always show both GAAP and adjusted (cash) EPS where relevant
- Stock deals: use acquirer's current price for exchange ratio, note dilution from new shares
- Include purchase price allocation — goodwill and intangible amortization matter for GAAP EPS
- Synergy phase-in is critical — Year 1 is often only 25-50% of run-rate synergies
- Don't forget foregone interest income on cash used and new interest expense on debt raised
- Tax rate on synergies and interest adjustments should match the acquirer's marginal rate
## Data sources — MCP first, web fallback
Many passages below say "use the S&P Kensho MCP / Daloopa MCP / FactSet MCP". Those are commercial financial-data MCPs from the original Cowork plugin context. In Hermes:
- **If you have any structured financial-data MCP configured** (Hermes supports MCP — see `native-mcp` skill), prefer it for point-in-time comps, precedent transactions, and filings.
- **Otherwise**, fall back to:
- `web_search` / `web_extract` against SEC EDGAR (`https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar`) for US filings
- Company IR pages for press releases, earnings decks
- `browser_navigate` for interactive data portals
- User-provided data (explicitly ask when the context doesn't have it)
- **Never fabricate**. If a multiple, precedent, or filing number can't be sourced, flag the cell as `[UNSOURCED]` and surface it to the user.
## Attribution
This skill is adapted from Anthropic's Claude for Financial Services plugin suite (Apache-2.0). The Office-JS / Cowork live-Excel paths have been removed; this version targets headless openpyxl via the `excel-author` skill's conventions. Original: https://github.com/anthropics/financial-services